For young Nebraskans, homeownership grows increasingly out of reach 

Nebraska paychecks are stagnant. Home prices continue to skyrocket. It’s pricing out a generation of buyers.

Maggie and Coby Smallridge were ready to buy a home. 

The couple in their mid-twenties got preapproved for a loan. They found a real estate agent. Their government-backed loan made the idea of homeownership seem doable. 

But with every house, they ran into a set of new roadblocks becoming all too familiar to this state’s current generation of potential homeowners. 

Houses in their price range vanished before the couple could even schedule a showing. They lost bidding wars to buyers paying cash. Sellers said no to their USDA loan — too much red tape.  

They looked in Ashland. Louisville. Yutan. Weeping Water. Greenwood. The few houses in their budget of $200,000 kept disappearing. 

“It was just nonstop, just being bought out,” Maggie Smallridge said. “We didn’t even have choices.” 

Coby and Maggie Smallridge moved into their two-bedroom rental house in Louisville two years ago. The couple tried looking for a home to buy but struggled to find anything livable in their budget. Photo by Lily Smith/Flatwater Free Press

For generations, Nebraskans have boasted the bargain of “The Good Life.” Choose to live in a state like California, New York or Colorado and you can have beaches, mountains, a city that never sleeps — and an eye-popping mortgage or rent payment to match. 

Choose Nebraska and you’ll get a calmer pace in a stable place to raise a family. Good schools and economic stability. 

And the cornerstone of the American dream: a home you can afford. The chance to generate wealth that comes with it. 

But for the current generation of young adult Nebraskans, that last piece of The Good Life is proving harder and harder to grab.

Paychecks aren’t keeping up with what it costs to buy a home. And it’s pricing out young Nebraskans like the Smallridges hoping to make the jump to homeownership, like their parents and grandparents did.

Priced out of The Good Life

Year after year, The Good Life is becoming less attainable for Nebraskans.

Paychecks can’t keep up with home prices. It’s pricing out young Nebraskans who dream of becoming homeowners. It’s leading to apartments outpacing single-family homes in Omaha’s construction scene and skyrocketing home prices in Lincoln. It’s forcing bidding wars in the smallest of towns and pushing communities to try out new solutions like down payment assistance.

Over the next few weeks, we’ll examine the realities and barriers to homeownership across the state. 

From 1970 to 2024, the median household income in Nebraska, adjusted for inflation, grew by 40%. In that same time frame, the median home price more than doubled. 

And it has grown far worse since the COVID-19 pandemic: From 2020 to 2024, the median household income in Nebraska grew by a fraction of a percent. Home prices skyrocketed 20%. 

In just four years, Nebraska home prices grew an astonishing 72 times faster than our incomes. 

“We keep telling people (out of state) that we have this low cost of living … but it has increased so much for us,” said Josie Gatti Schafer, director of the Center for Public Affairs Research at the University of Nebraska at Omaha. “We have priced ourselves out of our own market.”  

The problem runs border to border. In Lincoln’s Lancaster County, housing eats up more of people’s paychecks than anywhere else in the state. In Omaha, lagging house construction is leading to an apartment-building boom. Small towns are offering free land or down payment assistance to convince people to build new homes.  

And it’s also uniquely hammering the state’s young adults. More millennials carry student loan debt than the generations before them. Young adults are getting married and forming two-income households later in life, making it harder to buy a home. And when they do try, they face a shortage of more than 120,000 housing units and skyrocketing prices that outpace their paychecks. 

Laurie Goodman, Urban Institute Research Fellow. Courtesy photo

“The burden falls on young people,” said Laurie Goodman, an Urban Institute fellow specializing in housing finance policy. “If you think of someone who’s been a homeowner for a long time and home prices go up, it doesn’t really affect them … if you think about someone who was renting and wants to buy for the first time, that rise in housing costs relative to income is just killer.”

Maggie Smallridge knew the pandemic had changed the housing market. She just didn’t realize how much. 

In 2018, she and her husband were ready to start college. They were in no position to buy a house, she said. 

“But crap, if we could go back, we should have,” she said. 

And she’s right — Nebraskans can afford much less home today than they could before the pandemic. 

In 2019, the median Nebraska household income was about $61,440. On average, most people can afford a home roughly 2.5 times their income, according to the federal government. You shouldn’t spend more than 30% of your income on housing when utilities and insurance are included, according to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development

So in 2019, an affordable home for the median Nebraska household cost roughly $163,598 — close to the median home value of $155,800 at the time. 

By 2024, the median household income in Nebraska was $76,475. An affordable home for that salary would cost roughly $201,188. 

The median home price in the state that year: $238,600 — meaning the average Nebraskan household would need to make an additional $15,000 a year to afford it. 

“That is really, really difficult for a young family that doesn’t have anything to sell in order to buy,” said Cliff Mesner, co-owner of Mesner Development.

Can you afford an “affordable” home in Nebraska?

The growing gap between wages and home prices is in part because of the pandemic. Low interest rates and moving fever kicked off a homebuying trend, fueling the price increases we still see today. 

Nelson Jett, North Platte real estate agent. Courtesy photo

“People weren’t afraid of paying $30,000, $50,000 over asking price just to have the house (if) there were seven offers and they wanted it and it was their dream home,” said Nelson Jett, a North Platte-area real estate agent.  

But it’s also an aftershock of the Great Recession. The 2008 financial crisis put developers out of business; foreclosures flooded the market with cheap homes; it grew harder for buyers to get mortgages. The construction industry screeched to a halt.

“We built 5 million fewer homes that decade than we did any decade since World War II,” Mesner said. “One (construction crew) after another went bankrupt or went someplace else. The work wasn’t there because nobody was building the housing.”

Nebraska dropped to a rock-bottom 5,150 building permits issued in 2009, half of where we’d been five years earlier, according to census data.

Since then, construction has picked up, but the lack of housing supply remains: Nebraska’s construction workforce still lags. Land is costly. The pandemic brought extreme spikes in the cost of materials, then Biden-era inflation and now Trump administration tariffs have kept those costs high. As a state, we aren’t building fast enough to keep up with an aging housing stock. 

“The supply choked, but the demand didn’t,” said Shannon Harner, executive director of the Nebraska Investment Finance Authority. “You see this gap between what’s affordable and what’s available.”

Mike Flood

Earlier this month, Congress passed a bipartisan package of laws aimed at narrowing that gap. The package included adjusting federal regulations to make it easier and cheaper for developers to build and tightened restrictions on large institutional investors buying up single-family homes. The bill, sponsored by Nebraska’s U.S. Rep. Mike Flood, will hopefully lower housing costs by increasing the supply, the Republican said.

When Flood graduated college, the idea of homeownership was more expected. He and most of his friends bought homes by the time they were in their mid-twenties.

“That’s the American dream, and right now, the American dream really only happens for first-time homebuyers on average at age 40, which is completely ridiculous,” Flood said.

In West Point, a teacher backed out of a job because she couldn’t find a place to live, he said. In Columbus, there are 800 open jobs but not enough places for those potential workers to live.

“It’s that group of people that we are trying to be attractive to (as a state),” UNO’s Schafer said. “Being able to buy something you both like and is affordable to you is definitely going to keep people at least thinking about staying in the state longer.”

Melissa Roman thought a house would be within her means. 

She was already able to afford $800 in rent on her three-bedroom Hastings apartment. She had just gotten a raise as a phlebotomist. That, plus the extra money she brought home through overtime and picking up shifts as a certified nursing assistant could cover a couple hundred dollars more toward a mortgage payment, she thought. 

It would mean a home for the 34-year-old and her two daughters. It would mean a yard, and maybe a pet.

But financing a home was easier said than done: Banks didn’t like that Roman had less than two years of experience in healthcare. They wanted proof that she had ample savings in the bank.

Roman’s boyfriend was willing to cosign, and she had a $6,000 down payment — money that would have drained her savings. But three-bedroom homes in Hastings were either out of her $200,000 budget or needed costly repairs.

“What if we come across a leak … or if we need to replace something? Then I wouldn’t be able to have that money for backup,” Roman said. “You basically have to accept a cheap house with a bunch of problems … but is it even worth it to have a lower mortgage if the house is falling apart?” 

For years, the gap between rentals and monthly payments on a home has been widening. In Omaha in 2016, rents averaged $886, compared to $1,271 in monthly payments on a home, according to Zillow. That’s a $385 difference. 

Today, though, the average Omaha rent is $1,443, compared to a $2,760 monthly home payment — a $1,317 difference. 

“People normally have a bias towards, ‘Oh, I want to own a home eventually, it’s the American dream,” Goodman of the Urban Institute said. “The economics now are such that it makes many pause … it’s more favorable to rent than has historically been the case.” 

Housing in Nebraska is still cheaper than the country as a whole. The median home price in the state is nearly $100,000 lower than the national median of $332,700. Nebraska’s price-to-income ratio of 3.1 — how many years a household must work to afford a home — is also lower than the national ratio of 4.1.

But Nebraska’s price-to-income ratio is growing faster than both its neighbors and the country. From 2020 to 2024, Nebraska’s price-to-income ratio surged by 20%. The national price-to-income ratio grew by 16% in that same time frame. 

“We’re not affordable for Nebraskans,” Schafer said. “If you’re trying to move from that starter home to a larger home, in the last 10 years, that house has gone up so much, you’re now priced out of that market and you’re stuck in your starter home or you’re stuck in your rental.” 

In North Platte, Jett finds that the new $350,000 builds meant to be starter homes are far too costly for first-time home buyers who can afford a price tag between $200,000 and $250,000.

There are few homes in that sweet spot, said Ashley Kaiser, an Albion-based real estate agent. “There’s just not a lot available, so when something comes up … you end up in a bidding war.”

Kim Zwiener, Nebraska Realtors Association President. Courtesy photo

Kim Zwiener, president of the Nebraska Realtors Association, said she has seen more young clients who will buy a home and rent rooms to friends to help pay their mortgage, or young adults who are only able to afford a down payment because of an inheritance. She thinks about her first home, bought for $65,000 in 2002 — $122,568 in today’s dollars. 

“There’s no way you could find a livable home for $65,000 right now,” she said. 

The Smallridges tried to find something livable within their means. It didn’t feel like they were asking for a lot with their list of non-negotiables: two or three bedrooms, a garage and a yard. 

But after four months of house hunting, they let their preapproved loan expire. They stopped looking in September 2023. 

Maggie still takes a peek at Zillow every week, just to see what’s out there. 

“I get depressed every time I look,” she said.

Maggie and Coby Smallridge spend time with their dogs Lucy, left, and Sam in Louisville. The couple tried buying a home, but repeatedly were outbid. Photo by Lily Smith/Flatwater Free Press

Flatwater Free Press

Priced out of The Good Life

Year after year, The Good Life is becoming less attainable for Nebraskans. Paychecks can’t keep up with home prices. It’s pricing out young Nebraskans who dream of becoming homeowners.

It’s leading to apartments outpacing single-family homes in Omaha’s construction scene and skyrocketing home prices in Lincoln. It’s forcing bidding wars in the smallest of towns and pushing communities to try out new solutions like down payment assistance. Our series, “Priced out of The Good Life”, examines the realities and barriers to homeownership across the state. 

By Natalia Alamdari

Natalia Alamdari is an FFP senior reporter and the Seacrest Greater Nebraska reporter. Since 2021, her reporting has taken her across Nebraska, where she has told stories on contentious board meetings in Brownville, quinceañera shops in Columbus and bison in the Sandhills. She's also traveled to Poland to tell the stories of displaced Ukrainian refugees. Her reporting on Nebraska prisons won a 2023 Great Plains Journalism Award. Previously, Alamdari worked at newspapers in Missouri, Texas and Delaware. Working at the Flatwater Free Press is a return to Nebraska — in college, she spent a summer interning at the Omaha World-Herald. She is a graduate of the University of Missouri-Columbia and native Texan.

By Destiny Herbers

Destiny earned her master’s degree in journalism at the University of Maryland. While at UMD, she covered NASA and Congress for Capital News Service, reporting on everything from cheese served at state dinners to future missions to Mars. She worked on the Howard Center’s award-winning project, “Mega Billons,” an investigation of state lotteries, and was part of an ongoing Associated Press investigation into law enforcement practices. When she isn’t reporting, Destiny loves swing dancing and thrift shopping.

11 Comments

Well Flatwater, I guess I should acknowledge that you selected a relevant topic to write about this time, far better than the usual articles about obscure artists, highschool reunions and guys with man buns playing frisbee in the park. Yup, I concede, we all want to buy a house and none of us can afford it. You got it.

But there are still some problems here with what you said, how you said it, and perhaps most importantly, what you didn’t say.

First up to bat, the constant Flatwater obsession with the anecdotal sob stories. Look, I’m not telling you that buying a home is affordable. And I’m not telling you that these sob stories are made up. Hell, I could give you my own sob story about this issue. But that isn’t the point. The point is that anecdotes aren’t data. Telling us sob stories is designed to manipulate our emotions. This way of reporting news is fallacious and dishonest. I don’t need to hear about the single mom with two kids who wants to buy a house so her kids can have a pet. Just give me the facts and if the facts support your conclusion then the sob stories shouldn’t be necessary.

Secondly, in as much as you got some of the economic reasons for the situation correct, you are basically just describing Economics 101, the concept of supply and demand. Yeah, what do you know, if there is a low supply and a high demand, the product costs more. You blame this heavily on the economy, but the reality is that the economy is not a conscious force that chose this course of action. The economy is just the consequences of our own actions.

Which brings us the next point. In each of these sob stories we have single people who were happy to rent and also noted that they could never save up enough money on their own for a house. The story changes when they get married and suddenly living in a tiny apartment with a bunch of single people isn’t so attractive anymore. What you carefully sidestepped here is the drastic change in social dynamics from prior generations. Past generations got married younger and more often… while Millennials seemed more interested in going to furry conventions, watching anime and voting blue no matter who. Marriage is the foundation of civilization and when it lags so does everything else, including wealth building and home ownership. Millennials are turning 40 and just now finding out that being a lonely bachelor forever wasn’t as great a plan as it sounded back when they were 20. (And let’s not even get started on how Gen Z is marching in entirely the wrong direction on this matter.)

But I’m not blaming the Millennials exclusively, which brings us to the elephant in the room that you completely refused to discuss. Baby Boomers. How many still work a 9 to 5 and thumb their noses at their Millennial subordinates? How many homes are they occupying? How many of them are lucky enough to own those homes and have paid off their mortgages? And what will happen in 5, 10 or 20 years from now when they finally can’t get out of bed to report to work anymore, are forced to move into a retirement home, and their kids get within reach of an inheritance? Think that might have an impact on the housing market?

Oh, and illegal immigrants too. They live somewhere, and that has some weight on the housing market. But let me guess, you have another article for me bemoaning how sad it is that we don’t give enough taxpayer dollars to the Catholic Church so the pope can lecture us about what it means to be a “good Christian,” right?

In summary, what I’m saying is that the forest was missed for the trees again. You worry that young people are leaving Nebraska because they can’t find a home, and that our claim of having a lower cost of living than Colorado isn’t going to hold up. But I’m going to tell you as someone who moved to Nebraska from Colorado, you are completely missing the point. Yes, the cost of rent or a mortgage is part of the puzzle. But read one news article about what sort of shenanigans Governor Schutz (Polis isn’t his real name) and the Jefferson County public schools are up to these days, and you realize the threat in Colorado is not just the harm it causes your wallet. Watch a homeless man shoot up heroin outside the Webb building on Colfax street while your cell phone blows up with political text messages about the dire need to direct more government funds to Planned Parenthood and then you may have an anecdote worth writing about. In the meantime, consider yourself lucky you live in Nebraska, where the homeless prefer meth, political text messages are slightly less aggressive, and you might get to decide how to educate your own children without needing a lawyer.

why are you getting this worked up about anecdotes in an article that also includes plenty of statistics and data when you don’t provide anything to back up your own anecdotal information lol. anyway, great article FFP, appreciate the data and tools shared to illustrate the points shared!

1. I’m not a newspaper, so my standard to provide data in an internet comments thread isn’t the same. Likely there is some maximum length limit on these comments that would make it impossible anyway.

2. Most of my points are merely common sense dissent which don’t require further “data” to back it up. If I say it’s hot outside on a sunny summer day, the burden of proof is on the person disagreeing with that statement, not on me.

3. And actually, I do provide proof when possible and practical to do so. For example, I posted a follow up to this very post citing an article from the Nebraska Examiner that echoed many of my own claims.

4. Your argument is a Tu Quoque logical fallacy by definition, hence you are not actually a “Logic Haver” as you claim to be.

“includes plenty of statistics and data when you don’t provide anything to back up your own anecdotal information l”

What stats and data are you referring to ?

It’s worthwhile to note that you did not respond to ANY of FI’s comments. Touche’.

Once again, the Nebraska Examiner has published an article whose timing makes my criticism of Flatwater seem prophetic.

Today (August 4th) Nebraska Examiner published “Today’s children could prosper in tomorrow’s shortage of young workers”

I quote the article: “An abundance of young workers will turn into an undersupply by 2040, with better pay and a surplus of housing, demographers predict. Immigration and artificial intelligence are wild cards, and young workers will still be saddled with taxes to support aging boomers for a while.”

And: “…the surge of Baby Boomers aged into adulthood in the early 1970s, swamping the job market and dampening pay for 20-somethings ever since…”

Notably: “If construction activity remains elevated, changing demographic trends could lead to a growing oversupply of housing in more markets…”

Notice how they touched on the exact points I criticized Flatwater for missing. The factor of boomers. The role of immigration. The likely shift in future demographics. The possibility that future generations will have opportunities that we currently don’t have, once the boomers are out of the picture.

This is the type of difference you see between a Flatwater article and a Nebraska Examiner article. The Examiner may not be perfect, but they don’t rely on emotional anecdotes to pad their stories and as a result they are a lot more likely to write stories based on the essential facts, which gets them a heck of a lot closer to seeing the big picture.

The answer is simple: Elect more multimillionaires and billionaires, and those who aspire to the same, to represent you.

Like a Clinton, Biden, or Billionaire Bernie Sanders?

Or any “democrat socialists” (sic) running today, all of whom are quite wealthy?

As someone who has live the majority (39 years) of their life in Nebraska I applaud this article. The time and research that went into the article is appreciated. Showing how Nebraska’s economy is affecting the struggle to buy a home in a once very affordable state is telling. I was one of the fortunate people. I bought my first (and only) home, a 1969 ranch in Wayne for $125,000 in 2013. Today, on Zillow (take it with a grain of salt) it is valued at $253,100. I make $42,000 before taxes a year, according to your graph I can only afford homes in 17 of 93 counties these days. There is NO WAY I could possibly afforded my home in Wayne today. The struggle is real and I hope those looking can find one sooner than later. I suggest the Nebraska Investment Finance Authority (NIFA) program for first-time homebuyer program: Homebuyer Assistance (HBA): Offers a first mortgage paired with a second mortgage (up to 5% of the purchase price at a 1% interest rate over 120 months) to cover down payments and closing costs. First Home Program: Standard low-interest 30-year mortgage options (Conventional, FHA, VA, or USDA) for buyers who do not need extra down payment help. Military Home Program: Special financing terms built for active duty military members and qualified veterans.

I applaud you, J. Gross, and Logic Haver as well, for always giving me a good chuckle here in the comment sections of FFP!

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